Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000326 0.000366 0.000408 0.000458 0.000515 0.000577 0.000651
2024-12-29 0.000253 0.000309 0.000375 0.000460 0.000566 0.000695 0.000865
2025-01-05 0.000217 0.000283 0.000366 0.000480 0.000633 0.000835 0.001124
2025-01-12 0.000183 0.000250 0.000339 0.000469 0.000655 0.000916 0.001314
2025-01-19 0.000153 0.000218 0.000308 0.000446 0.000653 0.000958 0.001452
2025-01-26 0.000138 0.000204 0.000299 0.000450 0.000690 0.001060 0.001691
2025-02-02 0.000130 0.000198 0.000301 0.000472 0.000754 0.001211 0.002030
2025-02-09 0.000117 0.000184 0.000288 0.000467 0.000774 0.001292 0.002265
2025-02-16 0.000109 0.000175 0.000282 0.000472 0.000809 0.001403 0.002568
2025-02-23 0.000099 0.000164 0.000271 0.000467 0.000828 0.001485 0.002829
2025-03-02 0.000092 0.000156 0.000265 0.000470 0.000858 0.001592 0.003156
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000149 0.000259 0.000472 0.000888 0.001702 0.003506
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000136 0.000242 0.000451 0.000873 0.001726 0.003687
2025-03-23 0.000072 0.000130 0.000236 0.000453 0.000905 0.001852 0.004122
2025-03-30 0.000069 0.000128 0.000239 0.000472 0.000975 0.002068 0.004806
2025-04-06 0.000064 0.000120 0.000229 0.000462 0.000980 0.002143 0.005168
2025-04-13 0.000057 0.000110 0.000213 0.000439 0.000954 0.002144 0.005342
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000106 0.000210 0.000444 0.000992 0.002298 0.005950
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000106 0.000214 0.000465 0.001071 0.002567 0.006926
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000101 0.000208 0.000460 0.001086 0.002678 0.007482
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000098 0.000205 0.000465 0.001126 0.002858 0.008281
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000093 0.000199 0.000460 0.001141 0.002975 0.008916
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000090 0.000196 0.000463 0.001175 0.003149 0.009771